تاثیر بحران کرونا بر روند مرگ و میر: آیا مسیر مرگ و میر تغییر کرده است؟

نویسندگان

1 مرکز تحقیقات مولفه های اجتماعی سلامت، دانشگاه علوم پزشکی جهرم، جهرم، ایران

2 مرکز تحقیقات بیماری های غیر واگیر، دانشگاه علوم پزشکی جهرم، جهرم، ایران

3 بخش اپیدمیولوژی، دانشکده دامپزشکی دانشگاه تهران، تهران، ایران

4 گروه آمار زیستی و اپیدمیولوژی،دانشگاه علوم پزشکی شهید صدوقی یزد، یزد، ایران

چکیده

مقدمه:  در حال حاضر کووید-19 به عنوان یک بیماری نوپدید، مهم ترین چالش سلامت جهانی است. شرایط بحرانی همه گیری این بیماری ممکن است تاثیرات متفاوتی بر میزان و روند مرگ و میر سایر افراد جامعه داشته باشد. مطالعه حاضر با هدف تعیین تاثیر این بیماری بر روند مرگ و میر در شهرستان جهرم انجام شد.
روش کار: این مطالعه به صورت توصیفی و با تحلیل داده های گواهی فوت طی سال های 1395 تا 1399 انجام شد. متغیر های مورد مطالعه براساس یک فهرست کنترلی از میان داده های سیستم ثبت مرگ مرکز بهداشت و اداره ثبت احوال جمع آوری شدند.
یافته ها: در مجموع، طی سال های مورد مطالعه، 3785 مورد مرگ رخ داده که 2250 (59.5 درصد) مرگ در مردان و بقیه در زنان بوده است. میانگین تعداد مرگ سالیانه قبل از پاندمی کرونا 701 مورد و بعد از آن 981 مورد با بیشترین تغییر میزان مرگ مربوط به گروه سنی بالای 70 سال بود. بیماری های قلبی عروقی، آنفارکتوس مغز و سرطان ها به ترتیب سه علل عمده مرگ و میر قبل ازپاندمی و بیماری های قلبی عروقی، کووید-19 و بیماری های عروق مغزی به ترتیب شایع ترین علت مرگ و میر بعد از شروع پاندمی بودند. بعد از بحران کرونا موارد فوت ناشی از تصادفات جاده ای و سرطان ها به ترتیب 32.60 درصد و 48.61 درصد کاهش و بیماری تنفسی شبه آنفلوآنزا 110.25درصد افزایش داشته است.
نتیجه گیری: میانگین تعداد مرگ رخ داده بعد از وقوع پاندمی کووید-19در مقایسه با قبل از پاندمی 39.9 درصد افزایش داشته است. بیماری های قلبی - عروقی نخستین و شایع ترین علل مرگ و میر قبل و بعد از پاندمی کرونا بوده است.

کلیدواژه‌ها

عنوان مقاله [English]

Impact of Corona Crisis on Mortality: has the mortality changed its course?

نویسندگان [English]

  • Vahid Rahmani 1
  • Razieh Zehedi 2
  • Kiavash Hushmandi 3
  • Karamatollah Rahmanian 1
  • Leila Fakhravar 4

1 Research Center for Social Determinants of Health, Jahrom University of Medical Sciences, Jahrom, IR Iran

2 Research Center for Noncommunicable diseases, Jahrom University of Medical Sciences, Jahrom, IR Iran

3 Department of Food hygiene and Quality Control, Division of Epidemiology, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran

4 Department of Statistics and Epidemiology, Shahid Sadoghi University of Medical Sciences Yazd, Yazd, Iran

چکیده [English]

Introduction: Covid-19 is currently the most important global health challenge as an emerging disease. The critical
conditions of the epidemic covid-19 may have different effects on the rate of mortality of other people in the community. The aim of this study was to determine the impact of corona crisis on mortality in Jahrom County.
Materials and Methods: This descriptive study was performed by secondary data analysis death certificate during 2016-2020. The studied variables were collected based on a checklist from the data of the death registration system
of the health center and mortality statistics announced by the organization for civil registration.
Results: In a total of 3785 deaths occurred during the study period, of which 2250 (59.5%) were in male and the rest were female. The average annual number of deaths before and after the Corona epidemic was 701 and 981, respectively. The highest death rate was in the age group over 70 years. Cardiovascular disease, cerebral infarction, and cancer were the three leading causes of death before the onset of Corona crisis, and cardiovascular disease, Covid-19, and cerebrovascular disease were the most common causes of death after the onset of Corona crisis, respectively. After the corona crisis, the number of deaths from road accidents and cancers decreased by 32.60% and 48.61%, respectively, and the Influenza-like illness increased by 110.25%.
Conclusion: The average number of deaths occurred after the Corona epidemic has increased by 39% compared to
before the epidemic. Cardiovascular diseases are the first and most common causes of death in Jahrom before and after the Corona epidemic.

کلیدواژه‌ها [English]

  • Pandemic
  • COVID-19
  • Cause of Death
  • Iran
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